So here's the story: The
Daily Kos, a liberal political blog, had contracted with
Research 2000, a Maryland-based research firm, to provide polling data. According to a statistical analysis, the polling numbers provided to Daily
Kos were bogus. In fact, Daily
Kos founder
Markos Moulitsas writes, "I have just published a report by three statistics wizards showing, quite convincingly, that the weekly Research 2000 State of the Nation poll we ran the past year and a half was likely bunk."
You might be wondering what the big deal is here. Organizations sue one another for fraud and breach of contract all the time, right? Well Research 2000's poll numbers didn't just exist on this one blog. News outlets such as
KCCI-TV in Iowa,
WCAX-TV in Vermont, WISC-TV in Wisconsin,
WKYT-TV in Kentucky, Lee Enterprises, the
Concord Monitor,
The Florida Times-Union,
WSBT-TV/WISH-TV/WANE-TV in Indiana, the
St. Louis Post-Dispatch, the
Bergen Record, and the
Reno Gazette-Journal were among Research 2000's clients.
I agree with the Washington Post's
Plum Line blog that "this is likely to prompt a serious discussion about whether news
orgs should be doing more to vet the polling they commission or publish." I also think it's a shame that it takes a scandal like this to prompt such an important discussion in news...